Observing Thinking

Observing Thinking
Observing Thinking

Friday, November 10, 2023

Nov 2023

 


Technology and Monopoly


 In the interest of full disclosure, everything in this article written after the heading, “Technology and Monopoly: An Intricate Dance” was produced by an AI after giving it/her/him/them...whatever,  the prompt, “relationship between technology and monopoly”.  What you are reading now was fully researched,synthesized, and created by a bona-fide human creature. 


So first, allow me (the aforementioned creature) to explain the catchy rhyming title of this piece.  What do Technology and Monopoly have in common besides the ending letter “y”  which causes them to rhyme?  One could also argue, somewhat perversely, that their opposite connotations (technology/good, monopoly/bad) serve to link them together which got me to wondering how opposites can have something in common.  After a bit of digging, I found that actually, opposites have more in common than non-opposites because they share a continuum. Aristotle's doctrine of the mean states that every virtue is a balance between two extreme behaviors, one of excess and one of deficiency. For instance, the virtue of courage is the balance between the excess of recklessness and the deficiency of cowardice. Thus, these extreme behaviors are considered as opposites. On the other hand, most  "non-opposites" are things that do not share any continuum between them. Hence, they do not have anything in common with each other.”


Now although technology and monopoly are not strictly on a continuum of any specific property,  they do share a sort of a cause-effect relationship because the introduction of any new technology into any society not only causes existential disruption but also results in an economic disruption in a market-driven economy such as ours by granting a “natural” monopoly to the creators. ( A natural monopoly is an industry or sector with high barriers to entry and start-up costs that prevent rivals from competing. As such, a natural monopoly has only one efficient player. This company may be the only provider of a product or service in an industry or geographic location. Natural monopolies can arise in industries that require unique raw materials, technology, or similar factors to operate. Examples include railways and utilities such as  water, sewer services, and electricity (Wikipedia)

 However, before proceeding, it behooves us to be sure of precisely what a plain old monopoly is and how it works before drawing any conclusions (aka “look before you leap”) 



Investopedia provides a concise description of the definition of a monopoly as well as some of its Pros and Cons:








I hadn’t thought about the economic intricacies of monopolies until this fuss about the government suing companies as well as companies suing other companies over the issue of monopolies (for much, much more information,  search on the phrase Companies accused of monopolyand you should get this:


“About 1,690,000 results Companies accused of monopoly include: Amazon, Apple, Google, Facebook, and Microsoft”  ...followed by another list of articles which not only indicate the raised interest in this issue but should satisfy even a lawyer’s curiosity.


 I was certainly not aware of the actual Pros and Cons of a Monopoly and I only have fond memories of playing the Parker Brothers version of the game of Monopoly as a kid growing up in Atlantic City, NJ. In the unhappy circumstance you have never experienced the pleasures of  playing  Monopoly, I instructed the Bing AI to explain the rules of the game, receiving the following response,


Monopoly is a classic board game designed for 2-8 players1. Here are the basic rules:

  1. Objective: The goal of the game is to bankrupt your opponents by buying property, building houses, and charging rent1.

  2. Starting the Game: Each player is given a fixed amount of play money at the start1. Players move around the board according to the throw of a pair of dice1.

  3. Buying Property: Any player who lands on an unowned property may buy it1. If a player can’t or doesn’t want to purchase it, it is auctioned off to other players2.

  4. Paying Rent: If a player lands on a property owned by another player, rent must be paid to that player1.

  5. Banker’s Role: One player is selected to be the banker, who hands out deeds, makes change, and distributes money to other players1.

  6. Winning the Game: The game ends when only one player remains

Remember, Monopoly can be a long game, especially with more players. Enjoy your game! 😊

Learn more: 1. Britannica.com  2. Bargames101.com 3. Wikihow.com”

(I’m not sure if I enjoyed or was annoyed by the smiley face}


In this version, only the Pros of unfettered Capitalism are rewarded, the goal being to drive the other players into bankruptcy, thus winning the game.


Until I did the research for this article, I did not know that the original game of Monopoly was created over one century ago,  not to extol but to expose the evils of capitalism. “In 1903, Georgist Lizzie Magie applied for a patent on a game called The Landlord's Game with the object of showing that rents enriched property owners and impoverished tenants. She knew that some people would find it hard to understand the logic behind the idea, and thought that should it be put into the concrete form of a game, it might be easier to demonstrate. She was granted the patent for the game in January 1904. “ (Wikipedia (which, by the way is now asking for well-deserved donations))


I also  discovered that while originally being banned in China as it conflicted with the values of communism, the game has been reinstated for manufacture in order for China to participate in the World Trade Organization. Never underestimate the power of greed


On a more personal note, the version of the Monopoly game that I learned to play was as a child living in Atlantic City, NJ where the streets and other common geographical features ( like the boardwalk) were named after places I already knew so like most children my age I just accepted that as another feature of my reality without giving it a thought  --- I was like  a fish unaware that I was underwater --- it just was what it was. 


 When our family moved to Washington D.C. and we were playing the game I experienced this weird feeling that the street names  weren't right, they were not the same as where I was now living.  This feeling was replaced by the staggering  insight that streets and their  names do not follow you as you move about the country. It was a simultaneous blow to my ego and a startlingly delightful insight that caused me to laugh out loud. I still smile when I think about it. The world, in fact, does not revolve around any of us, except of course, for certain politicians and other thespians who shall, for purposes of this column, remain unnamed.




Technology and Monopoly: An Intricate Dance


In a world where technology governs our daily lives, the rise of monopolies has become an unavoidable reality. Innovative products and services are often developed by tech giants, who wield vast control and power over the market. While these monopolies drive technological advancements and fuel economic growth, their dominance raises concerns about ethics, privacy, and competition.


The tech landscape is constantly evolving, with companies like Amazon, Google, and Facebook leading the way. These corporations possess the resources and influence to shape our digital experiences. They introduce groundbreaking technologies, such as artificial intelligence, virtual reality, and blockchain, that have the potential to revolutionize entire industries.


On one hand, these advancements contribute to the convenience and efficiency of our lives. From personalized recommendations and efficient online shopping to instant communication, the benefits are evident. However, the downside of such monopolistic control becomes apparent when competition is stifled, consumers face limited choices, and innovation is deterred.


Many argue that monopolies gain an unfair advantage through their immense data collection capabilities. With user data becoming the new gold, these tech giants have access to a treasure trove of information. They can analyze user preferences, behaviors, and habits, enabling them to deliver more tailored products and services. However, this also raises concerns about privacy and the potential for these companies to exploit personal data for their own gain.


The intersection of technology and monopoly gives rise to important questions about regulatory oversight. Governments and policymakers worldwide are grappling with the need to strike a balance between fostering innovation and safeguarding the interests of society. Antitrust laws and regulations attempt to prevent monopolies from engaging in anti-competitive practices, ensuring fair competition and protecting consumers.


Efforts to curb the power of monopolies have gained traction, with landmark cases and investigations targeting the likes of Google and Facebook. Calls for more transparency, data privacy regulations, and the promotion of healthy competition are becoming increasingly urgent. The aim is to preserve the benefits of technological innovation while avoiding the negative consequences of unchecked monopolistic dominance.


As the ever-expanding realm of technology continues to shape our lives and reshape industries, the relationship between technology and monopoly remains complex. It is a dance where innovation, convenience, and concern must find a harmonious coexistence. Striking the right balance is crucial in ensuring that technological progress benefits all, without sacrificing competition, privacy, and consumer choice.













Oct 2023 Curiouser and Seriouser

                   Curiouser and Seriouser


Perhaps you recognize this odd title which is a  modified and somewhat mangled version of a passage  from Lewis Carroll's fairy tale, Alice in Wonderland,  

(“Curiouser and curiouser!” cried Alice (she was so much surprised, that for the moment she quite forgot how to speak good English); “now I’m opening out like the largest telescope that ever was! Good-bye, feet!” (for when she looked down at her feet, they seemed to be almost out of sight, they were getting so far off) “Oh, my poor little feet, I wonder who will put on your shoes and stockings for you now, dears? I’m sure I shan’t be able! I shall be a great deal too far off to trouble myself about you: you must manage the best way you can;—but I must be kind to them,” thought Alice, “or perhaps they won’t walk the way I want to go! Let me see: I’ll give them a new pair of boots every Christmas.”)


However, this title  pretty much sums up my reactions to the latest gush of news stories relating to the new and improved AI-powered version of the World Wide Web (aka the Internet). 


A particularly enlightening viewpoint was presented in the 10/06/23  PBS NewsHour interview of Maria Ressa, the veteran journalist and past Nobel Peace Prize recipient where she discusses “The Future of AI”.  She is concerned about similar issues I have previously discussed  regarding the dangers in how the current AI- enhanced Internet is so devilishly effective in spreading Misinformation (benign misuse of Information) and Disinformation ( weaponized and targeted lies presented as fact).   


She begins by pointing out that if you can’t have integrity of facts, you can’t have integrity in elections. This seems obvious but she goes on to argue that research has shown that lies or disinformation spread six times faster than facts (remember the epigram attributed to Mark Twain, “A lie spreads half-way round the world while the truth is still getting its boots on”). 


This situation is destined to worsen,  not only because of the reach and speed of the Internet but our wired-in human weakness of confirmation bias --- our propensity to accept “facts” that confirm existing beliefs or values and discredit conflicting views. “People display this bias when they select information that supports their views, ignoring contrary information, or when they interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing attitudes. The effect is strongest for desired outcomes, for emotionally charged issues, and for deeply entrenched beliefs. Confirmation bias is insuperable for most people, but they can manage it, for example, by education and training in critical thinking skills.” (Wikipedia)  Personally, I think this to be an insurmountable problem (unless you can become a fully enlightened being as prescribed by Buddhism) but that just might be my own confirmation bias. 


Recall that an AI is trained and learns from the readily available data on the Internet as well as learning from other AI programs much like we begin by learning basic knowledge and skills originally from our parents but as we grow and learn from our friends and family and  all of the other institutions provided by our society: schools, churches, libraries and yes, even from sources like this newspaper you are currently reading --- and if you are an active reader, you are learning and generating new ideas which you can in turn share with your friends and neighbors... and the beat goes on, This process can be replicated by an AI,  so it’s easy to see how fast it feeds and  grows until it becomes bloated with Information, Misinformation and Disinformation with which it can form its very own confirmation biases and who is to say which biases are bette r or worse -- the one it forms or the ones we create from our own experience?


 For example, consider the recent article in the Washington Post ( Cat Zakrzewski October 7, 2023 at 8:00 a.m. EDT)




Amazon’s Alexa has been claiming the 2020 election was stolen

The popular voice assistant says the 2020 race was stolen, even as parent company Amazon promotes the tool as a reliable election news source — foreshadowing a new information battleground.

Asked about fraud in the race — in which President Biden defeated former president Donald Trump with 306 electoral college votes — Alexa says it was “stolen by a massive amount of election fraud,” citing Rumble, a video streaming service favored by conservatives. Amid concerns the rise of artificial intelligence will supercharge the spread of misinformation comes a wild fabrication from a more prosaic source: Amazon’s Alexa, which declared that the 2020 presidential election was stolen.

Asked about fraud in the race — in which Joe Biden defeated President Donald Trump with 306 electoral college votes — the popular voice assistant said it was “stolen by a massive amount of election fraud,” citing Rumble, a video-streaming service favored by conservatives.


The 2020 races were “notorious for many incidents of irregularities and indications pointing to electoral fraud taking place in major metro centers,” according to Alexa, referencing Substack, a subscription newsletter service. Alexa contended that Trump won Pennsylvania, citing “an Alexa answers contributor.”


Multiple investigations into the 2020 election have revealed no evidence of fraud, and Trump faces federal criminal charges connected to his efforts to overturn the election. Yet Alexa disseminates misinformation about the race, even as parent company Amazon promotes the tool as a reliable election news source to more than 70 million estimated users.  Amazon declined to explain why its voice assistant draws 2020 election answers from unvetted sources.”


And as I write this,  I learn that fake images of the ongoing war in Palestine have been appearing on social websites such as Facebook spreading false information by one side or the other. Whether this is wartime propaganda or the desire to be “liked” is irrelevant. It is just plain wrong and technology is providing us with the means to do it. However difficult, it is incumbent upon ourselves to place some guardrails on this process.


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